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New
Sasol CEO Takes Helm In Difficult Times

Executive Director Pat Davies has been
appointed CEO of Sasol effective July 1, 2005,
replacing Pieter Cox, who will succeed Paul
Kruger as chairman of the board beginning
January 1, 2006. Sasol also appointed Trevor
Munday to the new position of deputy chief
executive. His job will be to provide Davies
with support in the management of the
company's significantly expanded global
interests.
Davies will immediately manage several major
projects, including the commissioning of
Sasol's polymer facilities in Iran, startup of
gas-to-liquids (GTL) plants in Qatar and
Nigeria, and completion of feasibility studies
for a coal-to-liquids (CTL) facility in China.
In South Africa, Davies must address Sasol's
poor safety record and rebuild its
relationship with the government and trade
union. It also must secure a partner for its
chemicals operations that meets the
requirements of the black economic empowerment
(BEE) legislation. The company has also been
rebuked for not having enough black managers.
Sasol has responded by noting that it has
appointed former high-ranking officials from
the ruling African National Congress (ANC)
government as senior advisers on BEE policy.
Recently there has been speculation that a
U.S. petrochemicals company may make a bid for
Sasol. According to the company it is only a
rumor. The company has also had to respond to
suggestions that it may sell its Condea
olefins, surfactants and solvents (O&S)
operations in Germany due to its poor
performance. As a key shareholder, the South
African government said it will oppose any
foreign bid for Sasol.
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Russian
Chemical Industry Attractive to Foreign
Investment
In 2004, Russian petrochemicals output rose 7
percent by volume as compared to 2003, while
export revenues increased and domestically
produced chemicals began to replace previously
imported products. In 2003, foreign
investments totaled approximately $500
million, with companies such as Procter &
Gamble and Henkel investing in local
production through acquisitions or
construction of new facilities. In 2005,
Russia's lower house of parliament, the State
Duma, is expected to approve a five-year plan
to improve growth of the chemicals industry in
the country. Compared to the Middle East,
Russia may be an attractive alternative for
business operations.
The challenges are significant, though, for
those foreign investors considering the
opportunities in Russia. Much of the chemical
industry infrastructure is old and in poor
condition following many years without any
capital investment. Some Russian businesses
are buying petrochemical companies and
improving the assets so they can competitively
export the materials they are producing. A
growing domestic market and a sense of
political stability are resulting in more of
this type of activity. The need for expansion
and modernization of the logistics
infrastructure is also great. Overcoming the
large distances between feedstock sources,
processing plants, and consumer markets is a
significant challenge. Cultural differences
may also be a factor.
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Innovene
Begins Operating April 1, 2005

Beginning April 4th, the olefins and
derivatives (O&D) business of BP began
operating independently under the name
Innovene. BP plans to divest the $15 billion
business before the end of 2005, possibly
through an initial public offering. Innovene
has been separated from BP in order to
increase flexibility in its operations,
decision making, and customer service. Ralph
Alexander will serve as CEO, while the former
business unit leader for Olefins Americas at
BP Janet Roemer will take the chief of staff
position.
Corporate headquarters will be located in
Chicago, while North American operations will
originate in Houston. Asia-Pacific
headquarters will be in Shanghai, China.
Innovene will assume BP's 50 percent share of
Secco Petrochemical Co (Secco), which began
operation of a 900,000 tonne/year cracker in
Caojing, Shanghai in March, 2005. According to
Innovene officials, the company will be
looking at further opportunities in China and
the Middle East.
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Vietnamese
Plastics Industry Must Prepare for Growth
Plastics demand in Vietnam is expect to grow
at nearly 30 percent for the next few years.
The domestic plastics industry in Vietnam,
however, must overcome several challenges
before it can take advantage of the
opportunity presented by such a growth rate.
The lack of an established petrochemicals
industry is a major hurdle. Currently Vietnam
imports nearly 95 percent of its polymer
needs, and will continue to do so over the
next 5-10 years, resulting in increasing
margin squeezes for downstream plastics
producers as the prices of these raw materials
continue to rise. Reduced profits will make it
difficult for plastics processors to invest in
the latest technology and equipment. The
processing industry is highly fragmented and
largely comprised of small and family-owned
businesses that either do not care to invest
in technology or lack the funds to do so. The
Vietnamese government has either removed or
significantly reduced import duties on resins
such as Polyethylene, Polypropylene, and
Polyvinyl chloride. However, many producers
say the government has not done enough.
Polyethylene, Polystyrene, and Polypropylene
plants are planned by the Vietnam Saigon
Plastics Association (VSPA) and Vietnam
National Chemical Corp (VinaChem). The
Ministry of Industry in Vietnam expects it
will take 5-15 years to develop a
petrochemicals base in the country. In the
mean time, many of the small and medium sized
plastic processors in Vietnam are focused on
offering low cost, small volume, customized
and specialty plastics products for the
European market. Some are gaining access to
wide distribution networks by partnering with
international companies. In 2004, the
government closed state-owned Vinaplast Corp.
and plans to privatize many of the remaining
state-owned plastics enterprises.
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US
Chemical Companies Should Prepare for
Implementation of European Reach Regulations
The European Reach (registration, evaluation
and authorization of chemicals) regulation
will undergo a detailed review at the meetings
of the Competitiveness Council and the
Environment Council in June, with a common
position expected to be available by the end
of 2005. The U.S. chemical industry has been
invited to participate in the development of
the regulation, particularly relating to the
registration process, confidentiality issues,
enforcement powers, allowances for smaller
businesses, prioritization of testing for
chemicals, and testing guidelines for end
product imports.
The American Chemistry Council's president Tom
Reilly said that he expects the Reach
regulation will result in the
de-industrialization of Europe. He also warned
that Reach "will work to the detriment of
the European economy and the future of
chemistry." Reilly called the Reach
program an over reaction by European
regulators to the perceived risks of
chemicals, and suggested that policy makers
are choosing to attack chemicals rather than
take the unpopular approach of addressing the
problems associated with risky behaviors.
Although implementation of Reach will most
likely not begin until 2007, U.S. companies
that do business in Europe should think about
preparing for the regulation. Companies that
are not able to meet Reach requirements will
not be competitive in the European market.
Evaluation of product lines to identify those
substances that might be affected by Reach
directly or indirectly (through regulation of
feedstocks) is also important. U.S. firms
should also look for opportunities to form
consortia with other producers to share
testing costs.
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