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Hurricanes Taking Toll on Petrochemical Industry
Following Hurricane Gustav, many chemical plants in
Louisiana remained without power for an extended
period. Three Caustic soda producers temporarily
declared force majeure (FM), contributing to
heightened tightness in that market. Two Ethylene
glycol manufacturers also declared FM in the wake of
the storm, as did a Melamine producer. Fortunately,
power was restored within a few days, and most
manufacturers were able to return to normal
operations within a week or so.
Before companies in Louisiana could fully recover
from Gustav, firms located in the Houston area had
to prepare for the onslaught of massive Hurricane
Ike. Up to 100 petrochemical facilities in Texas
were affected by the storm, but none seriously. As
with Gustav, the major issue has been power
restoration, and it may takes several weeks for many
plants to return to business. A great number of
facilities were still working to restart operations
more than two weeks after the storm. Chemical
shipments were down dramatically, reflecting the
lost production and damaged shipping infrastructure.
Two drilling rigs were torn from their moorings.
Practically all crude oil and about 94 percent of
natural gas production in the Gulf remained shut in
several days after Ike passed through the area. The
port of Houston was clogged with debris and over a
hundred ships lingered, waiting to unload. The Coast
Guard was working to clear ship lanes, but was also
struggling without power. It will take weeks to make
the Houston Ship Channel fully navigational.
There is concern about Ike's possible impact on the
already struggling U.S. economy. In addition to
potential fuel shortages and higher prices, many
industries that have remained strong during the
downturn could be hurt by the extended shutdowns of
chemical plants in the Gulf region.
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Chemical M&A Continues
with Big and Small Deals
While big deals such as the acquisition of
Rohm and Haas by Dow Chemical and the
takeover of Hercules by Ashland, smaller and
medium-sized transactions will likely be as
important. In the first half of 2008, $36
billion worth of M&A deals took place, while
in all of 2007 deals totaled $55 billion.
The number of deals above $25 million was
just 34 in 2006, however. There were 81 such
high-value deals in all of 2007, reflecting
the deepening credit crisis. Mergers and
acquisitions will continue, though,
according to analysts, because the key
drivers are still in place. In many cases,
the economy has led companies to identify
businesses ripe for divestiture. Some also
expect that the Dow/Rohm and Haas deal to
serve as a catalyst for other companies
considering a move of their own. More and
more deals will take place in Asia, the
Middle East and Latin America as those
markets look to consolidate and
international companies look to gain a
foothold.
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Top 100 Companies
Enjoyed a Strong 2007
BASF is once again first on the annual lists
of top chemical companies according to two
leading chemical industry magazines.
Chemical firms are ranked by annual sales in
2007. Dow Chemical, the chemical operations
of ExxonMobil and Shell, LyondellBasell,
INEOS, SABIC, Sinopec, Mitsubishi Chemical
and DuPont round out the top ten on the ICIS
Chemical Business list, while Chemical
Week's top ten includes Dow Chemical, INEOS,
ExxonMobil and Shell, Sinopec, DuPont, SABIC,
Total and Mitsubishi Chemical. Both lists
reflect the global nature of the industry.
Demand growth in emerging countries in Asia,
Central and Eastern Europe and Latin America
led to strong growth, despite the slowdown
in North America. Both volume and price
increases were achieved, with fertilizer and
agchem companies making the greatest gains.
Acquisitions helped others advance on the
list. Overall profits grew by more than 12
percent, while the operating margin for this
industry increased by 6 percent.
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Paraffin Wax Cartel
Members Fined
The European Commission (EC) fined nine
Paraffin wax producers $952 million (Euro
676 million) for operating a pricing cartel
between 1992 and 1995. Companies in the
cartel include ENI, ExxonMobil, Hansen &
Rosenthal, Tudapetrol, MOL, Repsol, Sasol,
RWE and Total. Although a member of the
cartel, Shell was not fined because it
cooperated with the EC. Sasol was fined the
largest amount as the leader of the group,
and ENI's fine was higher than the others,
because they have been accused of
participating in similar cartels in the
past.
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FDA Expands Workforce
by 1,300, Upgrades IT
The FDA has expanded its personnel by about
10 percent, adding about 1,200 new
employees. The Center for Drug Evaluation
and Research (CDER) will get 663 of the new
employees. About 75 percent have started
working, an additional 11 percent will start
by the end of September, and another 11
percent are undergoing background checks. Of
those already working, 85 percent are
professionals, such as chemists, biologists,
pharmacologists, statisticians, medical
officers, microbiologists and field
inspectors.
Overseas offices will be established in
China, India, Europe, Latin America and the
Middle East, and some country directors,
technical experts and inspectors have been
hired already. These jobs are going to
existing FDA personnel to ensure that people
with experience fill the positions.
The agency also announced that it will
invest $2.5 billion over the next 10 years
to upgrade its IT systems. Ten different
contractors will work to implement two new
data management systems for data tracking.
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Petchem Prices
Declining in Asia
The falling price of crude in the end of
August and first half of September had a
dramatic impact on prices of commodity
chemicals in Asia, which have declined
considerably. Even the recent spike in crude
oil values is not likely to have an impact.
Many expect downstream demand, which is
already weak, to slow down further, as
buyers wait to see if prices will go still
lower. Styrenic compounds have seen spot
prices drop as much as 8 percent, while
Benzene and Toluene fell to a seven-month
low. Declining raw materials costs are
expected to lead to some of the lowest
prices seen in Asia for solvents in some
time. Polyolefin prices experienced the
biggest drop in prices in the last 10 years.
Traditionally, downstream consumption rises
in the third quarter, but restrictions on
the production and transport of chemicals
surrounding the Olympic Games in China
dramatically affected the market. Prices
could drop even further with the upcoming
Chinese National Day holiday in early
October. The subprime crisis, growing global
economic slowdown and recent crises in
Western financial markets, combined with
increased capacity in the Middle East, will
further exacerbate the market conditions in
Asia. As a result, economists are predicting
a major downturn in the region.
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